现金流模型的直接预测现金流和未来股息方法的准确性(2008 -2012年在印尼证券交易所注册的制造公司的实证研究)

Eka Julianti Efris Saputri
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引用次数: 1

摘要

研究是为了确定直接法现金流量模型在预测未来现金流量和股息的准确性。本研究旨在检验模型直接现金流量法预测未来现金流量和股利的准确性。该研究评估了现金流量和股息预测模型,该模型采用了经营活动的现金流入和经营活动的现金流出。研究对象是2009-2021年期间在印尼证券交易所上市的所有制造业公司。本研究采用有目的的抽样方法,按一定的标准进行抽样。这项研究从131家符合标准的公司中挑选了15家。采用普通最小二乘回归分析建立预测模型,并采用配对样本t检验进行假设检验。研究结果表明,直接法现金流量模型在预测未来现金流量和股利方面具有较好的准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
KEAKURATAN MODEL ARUS KAS METODE LANGSUNG DALAM MEMPREDIKSI ARUS KAS DAN DIVIDEN MASA DEPAN (STUDI EMPIRIS PADA PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA TAHUN 2009-2012)
The research was perfomed to determine the accuracy of the direct method cash flow models in predicting future cash flow and dividend. This study aims to test the accuracy of the models direct cash flow method in predicting future cash flow and dividend. The study evaluated cash flow and dividend prediction models, that employed cash inflows from operating activities and cash outflows for operating activities. Populations in the study are all of manufacturing firmsthat listen on Indonesian Stock Exchange in the period of 2009-2021. In this study, samples taken by purposive sampling metod  on certain criteria.  the  research  gets 15firms  from 131 firms which mathc with criteria. Establishment of Prediction Model using Ordinary Least Squares regression analysis, and hypothesis testing done with test Paired Samples T-Test.  The results of this study showed that the models of the direct method cash flow accurately in predicting future cash flow and dividend.  
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