《通论》(1936)和《就业通论》(1937)中的概率、不确定性和流动性总是以程度来表示:遍历性——非遍历性不以程度来表示

M. E. Brady
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引用次数: 0

摘要

后凯恩斯主义者,从琼·罗宾逊、g·l·s·沙克尔、悉尼·温特劳布和保罗·戴维森的工作开始,用严格的二元术语描述了凯恩斯的通论和后通论对不确定性和概率概念的研究,比如知识-不知识、确定性-不确定性、开放-封闭或遍经-非遍经。在这些后凯恩斯二元表示中,凯恩斯的基本度概念没有空间,这与凯恩斯一生中不断分类的概率、流动性、流动性偏好、不稳定性和不确定性直接冲突,这仅仅意味着后凯恩斯主义者不是凯恩斯主义者。在凯恩斯有生之年出版的任何著作中,无论是《概率论》、《货币论》、《通论》还是《就业通论》,都没有二元概念出现在他的决策理论中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Probability, Uncertainty, and Liquidity in the General theory (1936) and the General theory of Employment (1937) Always Comes in Degrees: Ergodicity-Nonergodicity Does not Come in Degrees
Post Keynesians, starting with the work of Joan Robinson, G. L. S. Shackle, Sydney Weintraub, and Paul Davidson, have portrayed Keynes’s General Theory and Post General Theory work on the concepts of uncertainty and probability in strictly binary terms, like knowledge-unknowledge, certainty-uncertainty, open–closed, or ergodic-nonergodic.

There is no room for Keynes’s fundamental concept of degrees in these Post Keynesian binary representations, which directly conflict with Keynes’s constant categorization throughout his lifetime that probability, liquidity, liquidity preference, disquitetude and uncertainty came in degrees, simply means that Post Keynesians are not Keynesians. There are no binary concepts that appear in Keynes’s decision theory anywhere in anything that he published in his lifetime, be it the A Treatise on Probability, A Treatise on Money, General Theory, or The General Theory of Employment.


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