意大利电力系统中一个假想的抽水蓄能电站的市场估值

Amanda Spisto
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本研究评估了在水泵蓄能电站(PHS)位于意大利投资的盈利能力。我们在GAMS中模拟了从2005年到2013年9年间价格接受者小灵通的运作。结果显示,所有地区的经营利润均为正,其中SICI和SARD地区的业绩最高。然而,NPV分析显示,所有地区的储能投资均为负值,范围在-148欧元/兆瓦时至-75欧元/兆瓦时之间。这个结果可能是由几个因素造成的。一般来说,套利利润越高,价差越大。在意大利,虽然最高价格相对于其他欧洲国家相当高,但最低价格水平也很高,这导致了高昂的运营成本和最糟糕的储能投资商业案例。这项研究值得进一步研究存储在系统层面的战略作用,以包括更广泛的整体市场评估的好处。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Market valuation of a hypothetical pump-hydro storage plant in the Italian power system
This study assesses the profitability of an investment in a pump hydro storage plant (PHS) located in Italy. We model in GAMS the operation of a price-taker PHS during nine years, from 2005 to 2013. Results show positive operation profits in all regions, with the highest results being recorded by the geographical zones SICI and SARD. The NPV analysis shows negative values though, ranging between -148 €/MWh and -75 €/MWh, for the storage investments in all regions. This result might be due to several factors. In general arbitrage profits are higher in correspondence to big price spreads. In Italy, although maximum prices are quite high with respect to other European countries, minimum price levels are also high, which leads to high operation costs and worst business case for storage investment. The study deserves further investigation of the strategic role of storage at system level to include wider benefits to the overall market assessment.
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