财政政策对经济增长的影响:经合组织的跨国研究——以人力资本积累为重点

Diego d’Andria, Giuseppe Mastromatteo
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摘要

越来越多的文献检验了不同税收结构对长期经济增长的影响。我们认为,这些测试并没有适当地说明所谓的独立变量之间的内生性。我们对人力资本进行了几次跨国普通最小二乘检验,并展示了不同税收组合如何影响教育选择行为。微观经济学理论的结果得到了验证,这意味着人力资本积累速率不能被认为独立于储蓄税收。我们的研究结果还表明,更多的累进劳动税似乎与较低的教育投资无关,这与人们从微观经济理论中所期望的相反。我们讨论了可能的影响,并提出一个可能的解释在于再分配政策的结果,减少了贫困家庭的信贷约束,从而使他们更容易获得教育,从而提高了总人力资本积累。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Fiscal Policy Impacts on Growth: An OECD Cross-Country Study with an Emphasis on Human Capital Accumulation
A growing body of literature tests the effects of different tax structures on long-run economic growth. We argue that these tests do not properly account for endogeneity between supposedly independent variables. We run several cross-country ordinary least squares tests with special attention to human capital, and show how education choice behaviors are affected by different tax mixes. The results obtained by microeconomic theory are validated, and they imply that accumulation rates of human capital cannot be deemed independent from savings taxation. Our results also show that more progressive labor taxation does not appear to be correlated with lower investments in education, contrary to what one would expect from microeconomic theory. We discuss possible implications, and suggest that a likely explanation lies in the outcome of redistribution policies reducing credit constraints of poorer households, thus allowing them easier access to education and, consequently, higher aggregate human capital accumulation.
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