基于博弈论的上市公司财务舞弊监管分析——以瑞幸咖啡为例

Jian Ma
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在资本市场的发展过程中,上市公司财务舞弊现象时有发生,导致信息披露不真实。严重影响了市场的稳定和公平。涉及上市公司和监管机构的财务舞弊也是一个典型的博弈问题,博弈分析的最终目标是使各方达到理想的均衡状态。因此,本文对瑞幸咖啡财务造假的社会问题进行了深入的案例研究,并构建了具体的监管博弈模型。结论是上市公司财务舞弊选择的概率受监管成本、被控概率、罚款和监管机构声誉损失四个因素的影响。降低监管成本,加大罚款力度,可以有效防止财务欺诈的发生。因此本文也提出了一些建议,以期促进中国金融市场的健康发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Financial Fraud Supervision of Listed Companies Based on Game Theory--Take Luckin Coffee as an Example
In the development of the capital market, financial fraud of listed companies often occurs, which leads to the untrue disclosure of information. It seriously affects the stability and fairness of the market. The financial fraud involving listed companies and regulators is also a typical game problem, and the ultimate goal of game analysis is to make all parties reach an ideal equilibrium state. Therefore, this paper conducts an in-depth case study on the social issue of Luckin Coffee’s financial fraud and builds a specific regulatory game model. The conclusion is that the probability of choosing financial fraud by listed companies is affected by four factors: the cost of supervision, the probability of being accused, the fine and the reputation loss to the regulator. Reducing supervision costs and increasing fines can effectively prevent the occurrence of financial fraud. So this paper also puts forward some suggestions, in order to promote the healthy development of Chinese financial market.
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