基于极值梯度提升算法的长短期记忆网络光伏发电功率预测

Xingnian Chen, Yalian Wu, Xieen He
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引用次数: 0

摘要

光伏发电占全球总发电量的比例不断上升。光伏发电的准确预测对光伏发电的实时调度至关重要。针对传统预测建模方法对复杂高维数据存在过拟合和预测精度低的问题,提出了一种结合极端梯度提升(XGBoost)和注意机制的LSTM光伏功率预测模型。首先,利用XGBoost和Pearson相关系数法对数据进行特征选择,去除冗余和不重要的特征;其次,设置注意机制,增加重要特征的权重,增强模型对特征和特征值的理解。采用试错法和循环选择法获得了用于光伏发电功率预测的XGBoost-LSTM模型,实验结果表明,该方法比传统的LSTM和支持向量机方法更高效、更准确。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Long Short-Term Memory Network PV Power Prediction Incorporating Extreme Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm
The proportion of photovoltaic (PV) power generation to the total global power generation is increasing. Accurate prediction of PV power generation is crucial to the real-time dispatch of PV power generation. In response to the problems that traditional prediction modeling methods can overfit the situation and also have low prediction accuracy for complex and high-dimensional data, a long short-term memory (LSTM) PV power prediction model incorporating extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and attention mechanism is proposed. Firstly, the XGBoost and Pearson correlation coefficient method are used to feature select the data to remove the redundant and unimportant features; secondly, the attention mechanism is set to increase the weight of important features to enhance the model's understanding of features and feature values. The XGBoost-LSTM model is obtained for PV power prediction using trial-and-error method and cyclic selection method, and the experimental results show that the PV power prediction by this method is more efficient and accurate than the traditional LSTM and support vector machine methods.
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