日本碰撞原因的定量模型

H. Rivai, K. Hirono, M. Furusho
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引用次数: 2

摘要

绕日航线的海流密度很高。从1998年到2008年,船舶碰撞占所有海上事故的62.6%(日本海上事故调查机构)。风险最小化的度量,例如定量方法,评估人、机器、媒介和管理之间的绩效关系,仍然很少使用。此外,以一种简单而有序的方式发展定量模型将有助于对所使用的具体问题解释和预测事故中的现象。因此,对海上运输系统中碰撞原因之间的概率关系进行了估计。关键词:海上事故,碰撞原因,海上运输系统,人为因素,定量模型
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Quantitative Model of Collision Causes in Japan
Sea route around Japan has high traenc density. The ratio of ship's collision is 62,6% represented from the total kind ofmarine accidents sinee 1998-2008 (Marine Accident Inquiring Agency(MAIA),Japan). Measuring for risk minimization, such as the quantitative method, which evaluated with respect to their performance relationships between man, machine, media and management, is still very rarely used. Furtherrnore, the development of quantitative model in a simple and sequential way would be helpfu1 to explain and predict phenomena in the accident to the specific problems that are used. As a result the probability relationships between causes of collision in the term maritime transport systems have been estimated. Kbywords: marine casualty, eauses ofcollision, maritime transport system, human element, quantittttive modet
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