基于BP-RF神经网络的信用违约风险预测模型研究

Weiming Sun, Yiwei Zhu, Qiyun Hu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在互联网金融行业中,对用户的信用违约风险管理具有重要意义,但传统的机器学习模型预测精度较低。提出了一种基于BP-RF(随机森林反向传播神经网络)的两阶段信用违约识别模型。首先,通过构建神经网络自动提取交易数据的特征,然后采用随机森林算法进行分类和预测。该模型通过借贷俱乐部提供的数百万个数据集进行验证。结果表明,该模型比传统模型具有更好的性能,准确率为95.1%,AUC指数为89.0%,ACC指数为93.1%,证明该模型更适合信用违约预测领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study on Credit Default Risk Prediction Model Based on BP-RF Neural Network
In the Internet financial industry, it is of great significance to the user's credit default risk management, but the traditional machine learning model has low prediction accuracy. This paper proposes a two-stage credit default identification model based on BP-RF (Back Propagation Neural Network with Random Forest). Firstly, the feature of transaction data is extracted automatically by constructing the neural network, and then classified and predicted by the random forest algorithm. The model is verified with millions of data sets provided by the lending club. The results show that the model has better performance than the traditional model, with an accuracy of 95.1%, AUC index of 89.0% and ACC index of 93.1%, which proves that the model is more suitable for the field of credit default prediction.
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