坏消息到底有多坏?评估环境事件对公司价值的影响

T. Lundgren, Rickard Olsson
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引用次数: 14

摘要

基于企业社会责任投资如何通过商誉作用于企业价值的正式模型,我们推导出在不确定性下,坏消息对商誉有害,进而对价值产生负面影响的假设。我们通过事件研究方法检验环境(EV)事件形式的坏消息是否对公司价值产生负面影响,并使用全球数据集通过异常回报来衡量。电动汽车事件是指涉嫌违反国际环境准则的公司事件。我们分析了2003-2006年发生的142起电动汽车事故。电动汽车事故通常与价值损失有关,但除了欧洲公司的事故外,这在统计上并不显著。此外,研究结果表明,商誉资本较低的企业(EV风险等级较高)在EV事件中具有较大的负异常收益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How bad is bad news? Assessing the effects of environmental incidents on firm value
Based on a formal model of how investments in corporate social responsibility act upon firm value through goodwill, we derive the hypothesis that under uncertainty bad news are detrimental to goodwill, and subsequently have a negative impact on value. We examine by event study methodology whether bad news in the form of environmental (EV) incidents affect firm value negatively as measured by abnormal returns using a global data set. An EV incident is a company incident allegedly in violation of international norms on environmental issues. We analyse 142 EV incidents 2003-2006. The EV incidents are generally associated with loss of value, but which are not statistically significant, except for incidents for firms in Europe. Furthermore, results indicate that firms with low goodwill capital (high EV risk rating) are associated with relatively larger negative abnormal returns in case of an EV incident.
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