新卢德恐慌:人工智能对中美劳动力、资本和商业竞争的影响

Miron Wolnicki, R. Piasecki
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引用次数: 4

摘要

摘要目的:本文的主要目的是向公众传达一个信息,即人工智能(AI)与之前发现的任何颠覆生产方式的发明没有什么不同。过去,卢德分子对蒸汽动力工业和机械化织机充满恐惧;今天,我们对人工智能(AI)同样感到焦虑和对未知的恐惧。方法:我们分析了关于这个主题的世界文献,并比较了主要的经济参与者:美国和中国。我们也用一些历史上的类比,比如托马斯·爱迪生和尼古拉·特斯拉的发现。研究发现:人工智能是一项突破性的技术,将从根本上改变人类与外部世界的关系。它将颠覆所有已知的生产、医药、购物以及对人类环境的探索模式,模糊虚拟与现实之间的界限。附加值:勒德分子式的恐惧是没有根据的。人工智能将提高集中度,使赢家和输家、资本和劳动力之间的社会两极分化,并扩大随着工业革命而扩大的差距。我们正处于另一场革命的开端,这场革命将使人类更好地驾驭自然。革命的负面影响应该在未来加以处理和解决。建议:人工智能是由人创造的,最终可以由启动它的人来管理。也许人工智能将提供如何从失控的深度人工智能或通用人工智能中控制我们自己的答案。但这是另一篇论文的主题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The New Luddite Scare: The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Labor, Capital and Business Competition between US and China
Abstract Objective: The main aim of the article is to send a message to the general public that Artificial Intelligence (AI) is no different than any inventions disruptive for the mode of production discovered before. In the past, Luddites looked with fear at steam-powered industry and mechanized looms; today we look at Artificial Intelligence (AI) with equal anxiety and fear of the unknown. Methodology: We analyze the world literature on this subject and compare the main economic actors: the USA and China. We also use some historic analogies like discoveries of Thomas Edison and Nicola Tesla. Findings: AI is a ground-breaking technology which will fundamentally change human relations to the outside world. It will disrupt all known paradigms or production, medicine, shopping and, generally, the exploration of human environment, blurring the barrier between virtual and real. Value Added: The luddite-type fears are unfounded. AI will enhance the concentration power, polarize societies between winners and losers, capital and labor and enhance the gaps which were on rise with the industrial revolution. We are at the outset of another revolution which will give humans a better command of nature. The negative effects of the revolution should be addressed and resolved in the future. Recommendations: AI was created by people and can be ultimately governed by the people who set it in motion. Perhaps AI will provide answers how to control ourselves from a runaway deep or general AI. But this is a subject of another paper.
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