基于概率和确定性方法的房屋地震风险分析(以印度尼西亚西苏门答腊岛为例)

Febriana Kuscahyadi, A. Riqqi, I. Meilano
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的十年里,西苏门答腊经历了一次具有重大风险的大地震事件。灾害风险分析需要以尽量减少灾害风险为目标。本研究旨在建立房屋损毁与经济损失的分布风险模型。基于地震危险性分析(SHA)方法,采用概率和确定性方法对断层和俯冲带震源进行了定量风险分析。使用概率和确定性方法是为了提供更好的风险分析视角和关于地震灾害管理政策制定。结果发现,断层震源的地震危险性比俯冲震源大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Earthquake Risk Analysis of Building Houses using Probabilistic and Deterministic Approach (Study Case: West Sumatra, Indonesia)
Over the past decade, West Sumatra experienced a major earthquake event with significant risk. Disaster risk analysis needs to be done with the aim of minimizing disaster risk. This study aims to model the distribution risk of building houses damages and economic losses. Risk analysis is carried out quantitatively with probabilistic and deterministic approaches with faults and subduction zone sources based on Seismic Hazard Analysis (SHA) method. The use of probabilistic and deterministic approaches is done for providing a better risk analysis perspective and regarding to earthquake disaster management policy making. The results found that the earthquake risks are greater from fault earthquake sources compared with subduction earthquake sources.
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