在无噪声环境下用多注意网络完善短期股票预测

K. Sarpong, Bei Hui, Xue Zhou, Rutherford Agbeshi Patamia, Edwin Kwadwo Tenagyei
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引用次数: 0

摘要

股票市场的极端不确定性和波动性是一个广泛的研究领域。利用时间序列建模策略的关键是实现更高的股票市场效率。尽管深度学习中已经发展了各种各样的理论命题,但很少有理论命题可以捕获长期的时间依赖性信息,并选择航行序列进行准确的预测。为了克服这一问题,我们提出了基于小波两阶段注意的长短期记忆方法(WTS-ALSTM)用于金融时间序列预测。利用小波变换分解对历史股票数据进行信号分析和信号重构,进行降噪,提取和训练其特征,并建立股票市场预测模型。WTSALSTM模型结合了序列的弹性和非线性相互作用,然后通过过去的编码器隐藏状态引入输入注意,以及在所有编码器隐藏状态的所有步骤中通过解码器阶段引入时间注意机制。我们在道琼斯工业平均指数、恒生指数和标准普尔500指数数据集上用12种不同的模型对最终结果进行基准测试。在上述数据集上的实验结果表明,与其他基线模型相比,所提出的模型在其指标上具有竞争力的预测性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Perfecting Short-term Stock Predictions with Multi-Attention Networks in Noise-free Settings
The extreme uncertainties and volatile nature of the stock markets is an extensive field of study. The key to exploiting time series modelling strategies is crucial to achieving greater stock market efficiency. Even though various theoretical propositions in deep learning have developed, a few can capture long term temporal dependencies information and select the sailing series to make accurate forecasting. To overcome the problem, we propose wavelet two-stage attention-based long short term memory (WTS-ALSTM) for financial time series prediction. We use the wavelet transform decomposing to perform signal analysis and signal reconstruction of historical stock data for the noise reduction, extracts and train its characteristics, and sets the stock market forecast model. WTSALSTM model incorporates the resilient and non-linear interaction in the series, before introducing the input attention via past encoder hidden states, and temporal attention mechanism through the decoder stage at all-time steps across all the encoder hidden states. We benchmark the final results with twelve different models on DJIA, HSI, and S&P 500 datasets. Experimental results on the above datasets have illustrated that the proposed model can achieve competitive prediction performance in their metrics compared with other baseline models.
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