尼泊尔通货膨胀的决定因素:一个实证评估

S. Paudyal
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文考察了1975-2011年间宏观经济变量对尼泊尔通货膨胀的短期和长期影响。考虑的变量包括预算赤字、印度物价、广义货币供应量、汇率和实际GDP。Wickens-Breusch单方程误差修正模型的回归结果表明,所有考虑的变量在长期内都是显著的,这意味着这些变量是尼泊尔通货膨胀的决定因素。然而,只有预算赤字、货币供应和印度物价在短期内导致通货膨胀。研究结果与货币主义者的货币问题假设、凯恩斯的通货膨胀缺口理论以及通货膨胀的供给约束理论相一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of Inflation in Nepal: An Empirical Assessment
This paper examines short term and long term effects of the macroeconomic variables on the inflation in Nepal during 1975-2011. The variables considered are budget deficits, Indian prices, broad money supply, exchange rate and real GDP. The regression results from Wickens-Breusch Single Equation Error Correction model suggest that all variables considered are significant in long run implying that these variables are the determinants of inflation in Nepal. However, only budget deficit, money supply and Indian prices cause inflation in the short run. The results are consistent with monetarists’ hypothesis of money matters and inflationary gap theory of Keynesian as well as supply constraints approach to inflation.
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