洪水风险综合分析与排序的综合中性最佳-最差方法:以埃及阿斯旺为例

Safa Al-Saeed, Nabil M. AbdelAziz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了中性环境下洪水风险的区域差异和数据不确定性分析和排序的综合框架。该研究首次将科学稳健的Best-Worst Method (BWM)和单值Neutrosophic set结合在一起,引入了一种新的洪水风险缓解和管理方法。单值嗜中性集的独特应用使我们能够更好地说明和管理数据中的不确定性、不精确性和模糊性。此外,我们还采用多因素决策方法BWM,对影响最大的洪水风险因素进行识别和排序。综合方法共同为决策者和风险处理者提供了平衡、全面的指南,展示了高效和有效的缓解战略。本文强调了减轻洪水风险对拯救生命和财产以及有效管理和保护环境资源的重要性。在埃及的阿斯旺进行了一个案例研究,以评估洪水的易感性。结果表明:12.60%的研究区水淹敏感性极高,18.77%的研究区水淹敏感性较高,23.94%的研究区水淹敏感性中等,22.91%的研究区水淹敏感性较低,21.78%的研究区水淹敏感性极低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integrated Neutrosophic Best-Worst Method for Comprehensive Analysis and Ranking of Flood Risks: A Case Study Approach from Aswan, Egypt
This paper presents a comprehensive framework for the analysis and ranking of flood risks with respect to regional variations and data uncertainties under a Neutrosophic environment. The research introduces a novel approach to flood risk mitigation and management, bringing together the scientifically robust Best-Worst Method (BWM) and single-valued Neutrosophic set for the first time. The unique application of a single-valued Neutrosophic set allows us to better illustrate and manage uncertainty, imprecision, and vagueness in data. Additionally, we employ BWM, a multi-factor decision-making method, for discerning and ranking the most influential flood risk factors. Together, the integrated methodologies provide a balanced, comprehensive guide for decision-makers and risk handlers, showcasing efficient and effective mitigation strategies. The paper emphasizes the importance of mitigating flood risks to save lives and properties and to manage and conserve environmental resources efficiently. A case study was conducted in Aswan, Egypt, to assess flood susceptibility. The results revealed that 12.60% of the study area exhibited very high susceptibility to flooding, 18.77% showed high susceptibility, 23.94% exhibited moderate susceptibility, 22.91% registered a low susceptibility, and the remaining 21.78% showed very low susceptibility to flooding.
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