伊朗和巴基斯坦之间能源贸易的政治

Rizwan Ali
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引用次数: 0

摘要

巴基斯坦和伊朗是有着长期历史关系的邻国。然而,关于巴基斯坦-伊朗能源贸易关系的研究很少,特别是关于伊朗-巴基斯坦天然气管道的研究。本研究基于对来自澳大利亚、印度、巴基斯坦和美国的主要政策制定者、学者和社会活动家的定性访谈所收集的原始数据。基于对数据的分析,本文认为巴基斯坦遵守或绕过美国对伊朗的制裁都存在风险。在前一种情况下,巴基斯坦从伊朗推迟进口能源的代价巨大,而在后一种情况下,巴基斯坦及其官员和相关组织可能面临美国的严厉制裁。该研究的结论是,巴基斯坦必须采取更安全的政策,在与美国和伊朗保持良好关系的同时,从伊朗进口能源。印度参与伊朗-巴基斯坦能源项目可以增加其成功的可能性。关键词:伊朗-巴基斯坦关系,能源贸易,美国,政治,外交政策
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Politics of Energy Trade Between Iran and Pakistan
Pakistan and Iran are neighboring countries that have longstanding historical ties. However, there is little research available about Pakistan-Iran energy trade relations, especially with respect to the Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline. This research is based on primary data collected through qualitative interviews with key policymakers, academicians, and social activists, from Australia, India, Pakistan, and the United States. Based on the analysis of the data, this paper argues that there are risks involved for Pakistan in either honoring United States’ sanctions on Iran or bypassing them. In the former, Pakistan is incurring a huge cost in terms of delayed energy import from Iran while in the latter Pakistan, its officials, and its relevant organizations may face heavy sanctions by the United States. The study concludes that Pakistan must adopt a safer policy to pursue energy import from Iran while conducting good relations with both U.S. and Iran. The participation of India in the Iran-Pakistan energy project can increase the likelihood of its success. Key Words: Iran-Pakistan Relations, Energy Trade, United States, Politics, Foreign Policy
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