2019冠状病毒病及其对斯里兰卡经济的影响

R. Bandara
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本报告介绍了2019冠状病毒病及其对斯里兰卡经济的影响。本报告基于各种来源的COVID-19疫情信息。新冠肺炎疫情在全球蔓延,世界卫生组织宣布进入全球紧急状态。在斯里兰卡的背景下,本研究调查了COVID-19对国内生产总值、就业、通货膨胀、股市表现、外部部门表现和贫困的影响。根据分析,COVID-19对斯里兰卡的国内生产总值和就业都产生了负面影响,尽管其影响程度远低于南亚平均水平。除此之外,“恐慌性购买”、当地生产和分销中断以及进口限制都加剧了经济的通胀压力,其中整体通胀首当其冲。除了主要的宏观经济影响外,该研究还通过预测贫困来研究COVID-19的微观经济影响。由于出口收入减少,斯里兰卡的对外部门业绩有所减弱。斯里兰卡卢比对世界主要货币大幅贬值。最后,预计新冠肺炎带来的福利效应将比预想的更大,这将阻碍经济的长期发展。因此,应采取适当行动,在恢复经济的同时控制疫情的传播。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
COVID-19 and Its Impact on the Sri Lankan Economy
This report provides an introduction this COVID-19 and its impact of Sri Lanka Economy. This report is based on information about the COVID-19 epidemic from various sources. COVID-19 has spread over the world, prompting the World Health Organization to declare a worldwide emergency. In the context of Sri Lanka, the current study investigates the effects of COVID-19 on GDP, Employment, Inflation, Stock market performance, External sector performance and poverty. COVID-19 has a negative impact on both GDP and Employment in Sri Lanka, according to the analysis, despite the magnitude of the impact being substantially smaller than the South Asian average. Apart from that, ‘Panic buying’, disrupted local production and distribution, and import restrictions have all contributed to the economy’s inflationary pressures, with headline inflation leading the way.In addition to major macroeconomic effects, the study looked at COVID-19’s microeconomic effects by forecasting poverty. Due to reduced export earnings, external sector performance of Sri Lanka has weakened. Sri Lanka rupee has sharply depreciated against major currencies in the world. Finally, the COVID-19 welfare effect which is projected to be bigger than expected, will obstruct the country’s long-term economic progress. As a result, proper actions should be implemented to re-establish the economy while also controlling the pandemic’s spread.
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