{"title":"寻找美国的长期菲利普斯曲线","authors":"Elliot Goldberg","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3197176","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Although there is academic research confirming a short-run negative correlation between unemployment and inflation, the majority of studies conclude there is no long-run Phillips Curve. Deploying Phillips methodology and applying it to twelve years of US quarterly data, this study concludes there is a very strong negative correlation between unemployment and employment costs.","PeriodicalId":235167,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Inflation & Deflation (Topic)","volume":"90 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"In Search of a Long-Run Phillips Curve in the US\",\"authors\":\"Elliot Goldberg\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3197176\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Although there is academic research confirming a short-run negative correlation between unemployment and inflation, the majority of studies conclude there is no long-run Phillips Curve. Deploying Phillips methodology and applying it to twelve years of US quarterly data, this study concludes there is a very strong negative correlation between unemployment and employment costs.\",\"PeriodicalId\":235167,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ERN: Inflation & Deflation (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"90 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-06-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ERN: Inflation & Deflation (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3197176\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Inflation & Deflation (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3197176","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Although there is academic research confirming a short-run negative correlation between unemployment and inflation, the majority of studies conclude there is no long-run Phillips Curve. Deploying Phillips methodology and applying it to twelve years of US quarterly data, this study concludes there is a very strong negative correlation between unemployment and employment costs.