区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP):对中国潜在利益的分析

H. Khan, Sajid Ali
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引用次数: 1

摘要

区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)是一项大型区域自由贸易协定,旨在消除关税和非关税贸易壁垒,提高贸易便利化水平,促进投资自由化,促进成员国之间的全球价值链发展。本研究旨在了解RCEP在贸易、外国直接投资和其他经济事务方面对中国的重要性及其对成员国的潜在经济利益。它规定15个成员国之间的贸易关税降低90%。它可以通过贸易和外国直接投资创造效应潜在地增加中国的贸易和外国直接投资流入。在亚太地区建立一个友好的商业市场,以及该协定的关税削减条款,对中国经济有很多好处。在其成员国中,中国是领先的经济大国。因此,根据统计模拟,中国将获得最大的经济效益,因为这会增加中国的国际贸易、出口、服务和FDI流入。中国在RCEP市场的出口关税将从目前的2.2%降至0.4%。该协议预计将给中国带来2140亿美元的经济利润,相当于其GDP的2.2%,外国直接投资流入将增加13.4%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP): an analysis of its potential benefits for China
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is a mega-regional free trade agreement aimed to remove tariff and non-tariff trade barriers, increase trade facilitation, liberalise investment, and promote global value chains among the member countries. The study aims to know the importance of RCEP regarding trade, foreign direct investment and other economic affairs for China and its potential economic benefits for members. It has provided for a 90% tariff reduction on trade among its 15 members. It can potentially increase trade and FDI inflow to China through the trade and FDI creation effects. Establishing a business-friendly market in the Asia Pacific region and the tariff reduction provisions of this agreement have many advantages for the Chinese economy. Among its members, China is the leading economic power. Therefore, she will get maximum economic benefits as, according to statistical simulations, it will increase her international trade, exports, services, and FDI inflow. The current 2.2% tariff imposed on Chinese exports in the RCEP market will be decreased to 0.4%. The expected economic profit to China from this agreement is 214 billion dollars, equal to 2.2% of its GDP and a 13.4% increase in FDI inflow.
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