一种评估家庭光伏发电能力以减轻风电预测误差的方法

F. Carmo, J. Martins, Mihai Sănduleac
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着过去几十年技术的发展,人们越来越需要利用这些发展来减轻对环境的压力。因此,21世纪最大的挑战之一是减少化石燃料的消耗,并促进其他更清洁、更环保的能源替代化石燃料。为了使地球在环境上更加可持续,一项得到最广泛采用的行动计划涉及将可再生能源作为能源生产的主要形式,从而减少矿物燃料的消耗和温室气体的排放。有几个国家不仅在光电方面,而且在风力生产方面都具有很高的潜力,这使得对这两种能源的探索产生了一些影响。然而,风力发电具有高度的可变性,这使得其产值并不总是与预测值一致。因此,有必要减少这些风电预测误差。本文提出了一种评估家庭光伏发电潜力的方法,该方法可用于减轻由这种高风力变异性引起的风电预测误差。本研究仅考虑了家用光伏和储能系统,它们可以用来减轻全天的风力预测误差。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A methodology to assess home PV capacity to mitigate wind power forecasting errors
With the technological developments recorded in the last decades, there is an increasingly need to use those developments in order to reduce the stress over the environment. Thus, one of the biggest challenges of the twenty-first century is to decrease fossil fuels' consumption and boost their consequent replacement by other cleaner and more environmentally friendly energy sources. One of the most adopted action plans, towards obtaining a more environmentally sustainable planet, involves the integration of renewable energy as a primary form of energy production, thus reducing consumption of fossil fuels and greenhouse gas emissions. Several countries present a high potential, not only in Photovoltaics, but also in Wind production, which allows these two energy sources to be explored with some impact. However, wind production has a high degree of variability, which makes its production values not always consistent with forecasted values. Consequently, there is a need to mitigate those wind power forecast errors. This paper proposes a methodology to assess the home photovoltaic potential that can be used to mitigate those wind power forecast errors caused by this high wind variability. This study considers only domestic photovoltaic and storage systems, which can be used to mitigate the wind forecast errors throughout the day.
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