叙利亚培训和装备:谁让实习生负责?

Joseph E. Osborne
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引用次数: 1

摘要

美国政府决定为叙利亚温和反对派(MSO)部队建立一个打击ISIS恐怖组织的训练和装备(T&E)项目,这一决定在叙利亚内战的第三年取得了成果。本文考察了“训练和装备计划”,这是后萨达姆时代和后阿拉伯之春时代中东社会剧变的一个小而重要的章节。该分析使用了一个广泛的工具包,包括:三个假设,冲突分析的多因果模型,群体思维和层次认识论的理论基础,以及批判性解释学提供的解释主义镜头。其目的是利用这种离散的非常规战争活动作为平台活动,以检查政府行政层面的决策和行动如何影响总体结果。这项研究的结果将表明,叙利亚训练和装备计划的最大成果可能是作为一个警示故事和政策制定者的指南-特别是当考虑非常规战争作为一种政策选择时。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Syria Train and Equip: Who Left the Interns in Charge?
ABSTRACT The U.S. Government’s decision to establish a Train and Equip (T&E) Program for Moderate Syrian Opposition (MSO) forces to fight the ISIS terrorist organization came to fruition in the third year of the Syrian Civil War. This article examines the Train and Equip Program, a small but important chapter in the overall post – Sadaam and post Arab Spring societal upheaval in the Middle East. The analysis employs a broad tool-kit that includes: three hypotheses, the multi-causal model for conflict analysis, theoretical grounding in both Groupthink and Lay-epistemics, and an interpretivist lens provided by critical hermeneutics. The aim is to use this discrete unconventional warfare campaign as a platform activity to examine how decision-making and actions at the executive levels of government influenced the overall outcome. The findings of this examination will show that the greatest outcome of the Syria Train and Equip Program may be to serve as a cautionary tale and a guide for policy makers – especially when considering Unconventional Warfare as a policy option.
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