利用aquacrop和apsim -小麦模型优化埃及尼罗河三角洲北部的小麦产量和水分生产力

A. Kheir, M. Zoghdan, M. Aiad, S. Rashed
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摘要

利用APSIM-Wheat和AQUACROP模型对埃及一种近期春小麦品种(T. aestivum)在灌溉条件下的花期、成熟期、籽粒产量和总生物量进行了人工校正。在2014/2015年和2015/2016年连续两个生长季节,采用三次重复的分割小区设计,采用种植日期、灌溉和施肥等多种处理。利用田间观测资料,利用遗传参数对Misr3品种的APSIM-Wheat和AQUACROP进行了标定。两种模型均能较准确地模拟花期、成熟期、籽粒产量和总生物量,在多数情况下,决定系数(R)较高,d指数大于0.8,均方根偏差(RMSD)较低。然后利用校正后的模型探索小麦产量和水分生产力对灌溉和氮肥方案的响应。情景分析表明,小麦水分生产力和产量分别在1.2 ~ 2.0 kg m和6.8 ~ 8.7 tha之间。施用实际蒸散量的0.8和推荐施氮量的120%是实现作物水分生产力最高值的最佳预测方案。研究了农民实现当前小麦产量(7.4 t / h)的合适选择,模型表明,从实际蒸散量中施用1.4 t / h,从推荐氮剂量中施用80%,是实现该产量的最佳选择。此时预测的水分生产力较低,记录为1.5 kg m。还使用两种模型对研究区所有地区的小麦产量进行了量化预测。APSIMWheat和AQUACROP可用于推动在埃及条件下小麦氮肥和水分制度方面的最佳管理策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
OPTIMIZING WHEAT YIELD AND WATER PRODUCTIVITY USING AQUACROP AND APSIM-WHEAT MODELS IN NORTH NILE DELTA, EGYPT
The calibration of APSIM-Wheat and AQUACROP models had been done manually for anthesis date, maturity date, grain yield and total biomass of one recent spring wheat cultivar (T. aestivum) under irrigated conditions in Egypt. Various treatments of planting dates, irrigation and fertilization were applied during two successive growing seasons of 2014/2015 and 2015/2016 in a split split plot design replicated three times. The calibration of APSIM-Wheat and AQUACROP was done for Misr3 cultivar using genetic parameters based on observed field data. Both models simulated anthesis, maturity dates, grain yield and total biomass accurately, with high values of determination coefficient (R), and D-index greater than 0.8 as well as lower values of root mean square deviation (RMSD) in most cases. The calibrated models were then employed to explore wheat yield and water productivity in response to irrigation and nitrogen fertilization options. Scenarios analysis indicated that water productivity and yield of wheat ranged from (1.2-2.0 kg m) and (6.8-8.7 t ha) respectively. Application of 0.8 from actual evapotranspiration along with 120 % from recommended nitrogen dose was the best predicted scenario achieving the highest value of crop water productivity. Investigating the suitable option achieving the current wheat yield by farmers (7.4 t ha), models demonstrated that application of 1.4 from actual evapotranspiration with 80 % from the recommended nitrogen dose was the best option to achieve this yield. At this point predicted water productivity was low and recorded 1.5 kg m. Quantifying wheat yield in all districts of the studied area was also predicted using both models. APSIMWheat and AQUACROP can be used to drive the best management strategies in terms of N-fertilizer and water regime for wheat under Egyptian conditions.
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