{"title":"概率","authors":"Todd R. Davies","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3649241","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This is an edited and enhanced transcript (with notes and references added) from a lecture on \"Probability\", prepared as background material for the Minds and Machines course (SYMSYS 1/PSYCH 35/LINGUIST 35/PHIL 99) at Stanford University. From a video recorded July 30, 2019, as part of a series of lectures funded by a Vice Provost for Teaching and Learning Innovation and Implementation Grant to the Symbolic Systems Program at Stanford, with post-production work by Eva Wallack. Topics include Basic Probability Theory, Conditional Probability, Independence, Philosophical Foundations, Subjective Probability Elicitation, and Heuristics and Biases in Human Probability Judgment.","PeriodicalId":414766,"journal":{"name":"DecisionSciRN: Heuristics (Sub-Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1461","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Probability\",\"authors\":\"Todd R. Davies\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3649241\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This is an edited and enhanced transcript (with notes and references added) from a lecture on \\\"Probability\\\", prepared as background material for the Minds and Machines course (SYMSYS 1/PSYCH 35/LINGUIST 35/PHIL 99) at Stanford University. From a video recorded July 30, 2019, as part of a series of lectures funded by a Vice Provost for Teaching and Learning Innovation and Implementation Grant to the Symbolic Systems Program at Stanford, with post-production work by Eva Wallack. Topics include Basic Probability Theory, Conditional Probability, Independence, Philosophical Foundations, Subjective Probability Elicitation, and Heuristics and Biases in Human Probability Judgment.\",\"PeriodicalId\":414766,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"DecisionSciRN: Heuristics (Sub-Topic)\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-09-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1461\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"DecisionSciRN: Heuristics (Sub-Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3649241\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"DecisionSciRN: Heuristics (Sub-Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3649241","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
This is an edited and enhanced transcript (with notes and references added) from a lecture on "Probability", prepared as background material for the Minds and Machines course (SYMSYS 1/PSYCH 35/LINGUIST 35/PHIL 99) at Stanford University. From a video recorded July 30, 2019, as part of a series of lectures funded by a Vice Provost for Teaching and Learning Innovation and Implementation Grant to the Symbolic Systems Program at Stanford, with post-production work by Eva Wallack. Topics include Basic Probability Theory, Conditional Probability, Independence, Philosophical Foundations, Subjective Probability Elicitation, and Heuristics and Biases in Human Probability Judgment.
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