多属性选择问题的样本分配

D. Leber, J. Herrmann
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引用次数: 3

摘要

在做出多属性选择决策之前,决策者可能会收集信息来估计每个选项的每个属性的值。在这项工作中,我们考虑一个固定的实验样本预算,并解决了当属性值估计具有正态分布测量误差时如何最好地在三个属性之间分配这个预算的问题。我们说明了配置选择影响决策者选择真正的最佳方案的能力。通过仿真研究,我们评估了一种将样本预算均匀分布在三个属性上的通用分配方法的性能。我们将这些结果与利用决策者偏好的几种分配规则的性能进行比较。我们发现,将决策者的偏好纳入分配选择可以提高选择真正最佳方案的概率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sample allocation for multiple attribute selection problems
Prior to making a multiple attribute selection decision, a decision-maker may collect information to estimate the value of each attribute for each alternative. In this work, we consider a fixed experimental sample budget and address the problem of how best to allocate this budget across three attributes when the attribute value estimates have a normally distributed measurement error. We illustrate that the allocation choice impacts the decision-maker's ability to select the true best alternative. Through a simulation study we evaluate the performance of a common allocation approach of uniformly distributing the sample budget across the three attributes. We compare these results to the performance of several allocation rules that leverage the decision-maker's preferences. We found that incorporating the decision-maker's preferences into the allocation choice improves the probability of selecting the true best alternative.
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