调查外国直接投资和汇款对尼日利亚经济增长的影响:一个向量自回归(Var)方法

O. Fagbola.O., E. Adegbite, B. O. Oke
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引用次数: 1

摘要

为了确保更多地参与全球经济,发展中国家自1980年代中期以来日益使其经济自由化、私有化和解除管制。吸引外资流入的更受欢迎的政策是这一趋势的重要组成部分。在本研究中,试图分析外国直接投资和汇款流入对尼日利亚经济增长的影响,以寻求外国直接投资和汇款流入是否构成尼日利亚经济增长的重要来源的问题的合理答案。本研究采用向量自回归(VAR)方法。研究发现,外国直接投资对尼日利亚经济增长具有积极但不显著的影响。然而,从研究结果可以明显看出,汇款流入对尼日利亚经济增长的影响是负的,尽管影响不显著。本研究的政策含义是,政府应该建立一个没有不安全和腐败的投资友好型环境,降低经营成本,并建立吸引更多资本流入以促进国内生产的机制。通过这样做,外国投资者将对尼日利亚经济充满信心,并以外国直接投资的形式在尼日利亚投入更多资金,这将提高国内生产。这样,流入的汇款就可以用于这些国内商品和服务的消费,而不是用于进口商品。这将增加总需求,并最终影响尼日利亚的产出和增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the Effects of Foreign Direct Investments and Remittances on Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Vector Autoregressive (Var) Approach
In an attempt to ensure greater participation in the global economy, developing countries have increasingly liberalized, privatized and deregulated their economies since the mid-1980s. More welcoming policies to attract foreign capital inflows have been a prominent component of this trend. In this study, an attempt is made to analyze the impact of foreign direct investment and remittances inflow on economic growth of Nigeria in a quest to find a reasonable answer to the question of whether FDI and remittances inflows constitute vital sources of economic growth to Nigeria. The study employed the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) approach. It was established that foreign direct investment has a positive but non-significant impact on Nigeria’s economic growth. However, it is evident from the outcome of the study that the remittances inflow has a negative though nonsignificant impact on Nigeria economic growth. The policy implication of this study is that government should build an investment-friendly environment free of insecurity and corruption, reduce the cost of doing business and put in place the mechanism to attract more capital inflows to boost domestic production. By doing this, Foreign investors will have confidence in Nigeria economy and commit more funds in form of Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria which will enhance domestic production. Remittances inflow can then be channeled to consumption of these domestic goods and services rather than on imported goods. This will increase aggregate demand and ultimately affect output and growth in Nigeria.
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