使用机器学习算法的人寿保险公司代理建模

Dawid Kopczyk
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在本文中,我们介绍了如何利用人工智能领域的思想来解决寿险公司精算部门面临的代理建模问题。目前的方法进行了审查,暴露其无法完全模拟的复杂性和非线性的现金流预测模型。为了提高代理模型的质量,我们建议应用选定的机器学习算法,并概述其背后的理论,并给出数值结果,比较不同估计器的模型误差。本研究是在一家大型再保险公司的真实数据上进行的。本文可以作为愿意在代理建模过程中引入机器学习算法的公司的指导方针。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Proxy Modeling in Life Insurance Companies With the Use of Machine Learning Algorithms
In this paper, we present how ideas from artificial intelligence field can be utilized in proxy modeling problem that is faced by actuarial departments of life insurance companies. The current approaches are reviewed, exposing their incapability to fully mimic the complexity and non-linearity of cash-flow projection models. In order to increase the quality of proxy models, we propose to apply selected machine learning algorithms as well as provide an overview of the theory behind them and present the numerical results with a comparison of model errors for different estimators. The study is performed on real data generated by a large reinsurance company. The text can serve as a guideline for companies willing to introduce machine learning algorithms in their proxy modeling processes.
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