风速变化对电力系统电能质量影响的概率分析

M. Amiri, B. Bagen, A. Gole
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引用次数: 5

摘要

基于电力系统概率的研究已经进行了多年,并被研究人员和电力公司广泛接受。这种研究能够考虑电力系统的不确定性,如设备的随机故障和负荷预测的不确定性。随着可再生能源对电力系统渗透率的增加,电力系统分析需要考虑新的和额外的不确定性。本文提出了一种评估风速变化对电力系统电能质量影响的研究方法。本文采用蒙特卡罗模拟方法,假设风速服从威布尔分布。功率流是使用商业程序执行的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Probabilistic analysis of the effect of wind speed variations on power quality of power systems
Power system probabilistic-based studies have been performed for many years and are widely accepted by researchers and utilities. Such studies are capable of considering uncertainties of power system such as random failures of equipment and uncertainties in load forecast. With the increase of the penetration of renewable energy sources to power systems, new and additional uncertainties are needed to be considered in power system analysis. This paper presents a study methodology for evaluating the effect of wind speed variations on the power quality of power systems. A Monte Carlo Simulation method is used in the studies described in this paper assuming wind speed follows a Weibull distribution. Power flow is performed using a commercial program.
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