全球金融危机的跨国经验和政策启示

S. Claessens, Giovanni Dell'Ariccia, Deniz Igan, L. Laeven
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引用次数: 417

摘要

“2007- 2008年的金融危机根源于许多因素,其中一些与之前的金融危机相同,另一些则是新的。对58个发达国家和新兴市场危机后宏观经济和金融业表现的分析显示,新旧因素的影响存在差异。其他危机常见的因素,如资产价格泡沫和经常账户赤字,有助于解释实际经济影响严重程度的跨国差异。金融一体化程度的提高和对批发融资的依赖等新因素有助于解释金融危机的扩大和全球蔓延。我们的研究结果指出了需要监测的脆弱性和需要进行国内和国际改革的领域,以减少未来危机和跨境溢出效应的风险。它们还强化了一种(可悲的)认知状态:危机是如何开始和传播的,在很大程度上仍然是未知的。”Copyright (c) CEPR, CES, MSH, 2010。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cross-Country Experiences and Policy Implications from the Global Financial Crisis
"The financial crisis of 2007--2008 is rooted in a number of factors, some common to previous financial crises, others new. Analysis of post-crisis macroeconomic and financial sector performance for 58 advanced countries and emerging markets shows a differential impact of old and new factors. Factors common to other crises, like asset price bubbles and current account deficits, help to explain cross-country differences in the severity of real economic impacts. New factors, such as increased financial integration and dependence on wholesale funding, help to account for the amplification and global spread of the financial crisis. Our findings point to vulnerabilities to be monitored and areas of needed national and international reforms to reduce risk of future crises and cross-border spillovers. They also reinforce a (sad) state of knowledge: much of how crises start and spread remains unknown." Copyright (c) CEPR, CES, MSH, 2010.
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