外国直接投资与经济增长:印度决策者面临的两个同样令人满意的困境

Piyal Chowdhury, A. Anuradha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究旨在分析经济增长的重要性,这比外国直接投资(FDI)流入对印度的稳定发展更具相关性。本文以1978年至2019年为例进行分析。运用自回归分布滞后建模方法来研究经济增长的影响。从长期来看,FDI与经济增长之间存在协整关系。在短期内,经济增长与FDI是互为因果的。同时,FDI在短期内对经济增长也存在负面影响。因此,该研究建议印度实行三重发展进程。建议政策制定者调整经济政策,在第一阶段只关注经济增长,这将给印度带来外国直接投资。在第二阶段,他们需要找到相关的宏观经济变量,这些变量将受到外国直接投资的积极影响,以便在第三阶段,这些变量最终将有助于印度经济的增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: Two Equally Desirable Dilemmas of Policy Makers in India
The study aims to analyze the importance of economic growth that has more relevance than Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflow for a stable development in India. The article takes the period of 1978 to 2019 to analyze the same. It applies Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to find out the impact of economic growth. It is proved that there is a cointegration between FDI and economic growth in long run. In short run, both economic growth and FDI granger cause each other. Also, there exists a negative effect of FDI on economic growth in short run. Hence, the study recommends a threefold development process in India. The policy makers are suggested aligning the economic policies in a way to focus at the first stage only on economic growth which will bring FDI in India. At the second stage, they need to find relevant macroeconomic variables that will be positively influenced by FDI so that, at the third stage, these variables will ultimately contribute to growth of Indian economy.
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