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Richard Clarida
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引用次数: 0

摘要

Domenico Giannone和Michele Lenza的《费尔德斯坦-堀冈事实》(The Feldstein - Horioka Fact)采用了一种新的方法来解决一个老问题:如何解释费尔德斯坦-堀冈之谜,即工业国家的国民储蓄和投资率似乎高度相关,特别是在观察年度平均值时。作者使用了商业周期文献中流行的一种新方法,即因子增强面板回归,试图分离波动的特殊来源。对现有研究的贡献是,允许各国以特定的迹象和幅度对全球冲击作出反应。本文证明了数据的同质性限制是不存在的,并且对储蓄-保留系数的估计有偏差。事实上,考虑到全球冲击的异质性传播机制,自20世纪80年代以来,储蓄-保留系数显著下降,与经合组织国家资本流动性的增加一致。模型的结构由式给出
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comment
“The Feldstein‐Horioka Fact” by Domenico Giannone and Michele Lenza deploys a new methodology to address an old question: how to interpret the Feldstein‐Horioka puzzle that national saving and investment rates appear to be highly correlated for industrial countries, especially when looking at averages of annual observations. The authors use a new methodology popular in the business cycle literature, factor‐augmented panel regression, to attempt to isolate idiosyncratic sources of fluctuations. The contribution to existing studies is that countries are allowed to react to global shocks with specific sign and magnitude. The paper shows that the homogeneity restriction is rejected by the data and biases the estimation of the saving‐retention coefficient. Indeed, allowing for a heterogeneous propagation mechanism of global shocks, the saving‐retention coefficient drops significantly from the 1980s on, consistent with the increase in capital mobility across OECD countries. The structure of the model is given by
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