超越国界:日元和人民币

Paola Subacchi
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引用次数: 8

摘要

当所有人都在关注中国推动人民币国际化的战略和政策措施时,本文将目光转向日元的国际化,并将其与中国正在做的事情进行比较。在区域背景和区域一体化模式上存在着一些根本性的差异,这些差异将中国当前的战略与日本在20世纪80年代的经验区分开来。日元作为国际货币的发展,以及与中国战略的比较,突显了区域一体化作为克服网络外部性和市场惯性的重要性。本文使用一个分析框架来评估一种货币在全球市场中不同角色的范围(范围)和地理规模(领域),认为尽管经济基本面是必不可少的,但仅靠经济基本面还不足以保证一种货币的完全成熟的范围和全球领域。本文最后提出,在未来十年,由于中国在该地区的深度经济一体化,人民币将成为亚洲的主要货币,如果东京作为主要国际金融中心的竞争力得到改善,日元作为国际资产和价值储存的功能可以进一步增强。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Expanding Beyond Borders: The Yen and the Yuan
As all eyes are on the strategy and policy measures of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to push the international use of the yuan, this paper turns to the internationalization of the Japanese yen and compares it with what the PRC is doing. There are some fundamental differences in the regional context and in the pattern of regional integration, and these distinguish the PRC’s current strategy from the Japanese experience in the 1980s. The yen’s development as an international currency, and the comparison with the PRC’s strategy, highlight the importance of regional integration as a way to overcome network externalities and market inertia. Using an analytical framework that assesses both the range of different roles (the scope) and geographical scale (the domain) of a currency in the global market, the paper suggests that economic fundamentals alone, albeit essential, are not sufficient to warrant a fully fledged scope and global domain of the currency. The paper concludes by suggesting that in the next decade the PRC yuan will become Asia’s leading currency due to the PRC’s deep economic integration in the region, and that the Japanese yen’s function as an international asset and store of value can be further enhanced if Tokyo’s competitiveness as a leading international financial center is improved.
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