老龄化对社会保障支出影响的建模

J. Jimeno, Juan A. Rojas, Sergio Puente
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引用次数: 71

摘要

在本文中,我们调查了文献中用于研究人口老龄化对社会保障支出影响的不同方法的特点。我们评论了它们各自的优缺点,并通过比较它们在西班牙经济的特定情况下所隐含的结果来进行定量分析。最后,我们强调了建模策略的一些元素,在这些元素上需要更多的证据来正确评估手头的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling the Impact of Aging on Social Security Expenditures
In this paper we survey the features of different approaches available in the literature used to study the effects of the aging of the population on Social Security expenditures. We comment on the weaknesses and strengths of each of them, and perform a quantitative analysis by comparing the results they imply in the particular case of the Spanish economy. Finally, we highlight some elements of the modelling strategies on which more evidence is needed for a correct evaluation of the problem at hand.
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