南非股票市场的效率

D. McMillan, P. Thupayagale
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引用次数: 30

摘要

本文使用ARFIMA-FIGARCH模型检验了南非股票回报和波动性的长期记忆,以评估市场效率。所考虑的样本包括一段时间的股权市场改革,以确定这种改革是否促进了市场效率。结果表明,波动性在两个样本周期中都具有可预测的成分,而收益率在两个样本周期中都不具有可预测的成分。这表明,股市改革对市场产生了良性影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Efficiency of the South African equity market
The article examines long memory in equity returns and volatility for South Africa using the ARFIMA-FIGARCH model in order to assess the efficiency of the market. The sample considered encompasses a period of equity market reform in order to ascertain if such reforms promoted efficiency in the market. The results show that volatility exhibits a predictable component in both sample periods, while returns in both sample periods do not. This suggests that equity market reforms had a benign impact on the market.
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