气候和生态崩溃是恐惧政治还是自满政治?

John Grant
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引用次数: 1

摘要

所有政党似乎都在努力判断,在他们的宣言中,公众认为什么是可接受的环境改善。最近,媒体大肆宣扬植树承诺或其他表面上的改变,被认为是环境改善,但生活方式的改变有限,当然也没有解决气候危机。毫不奇怪,绿党拥有最强有力的政策,计划在10年内每年支出1000亿英镑;这(在我看来)对于实现我们将全球变暖限制在1.5摄氏度的全球承诺可能是一个重要的“机会”。其他各方都有“乐观偏见”,认为我们可以认真发展传统经济,同时仍然能够实现这些全球目标。政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)最近发表报告称,减少42%的碳排放量,将有50%的机会不会超过1.5摄氏度,并可能启动“自我强化的反馈”,将人类从限制气候和生态崩溃的等式中拉出来。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Politics of Fear or Complacency on Climatic and ecological Collapse?
All the parties seem to be trying to judge what the public see as an acceptable environmental improvement within their manifestos. Recently the press has revelled in the tree planting promises or other superficial changes to be perceived as environmental improvement but with limited changes in lifestyle and certainly NOT addressing the climate crisis. Not surprisingly the Green Party has the strongest policy with a spending plan of £100 billion ever year for 10 years; this (in my opinion) may be significant to have a “chance” in achieving our global commitments to limit Global Heating to 1.5oC. All the other parties suffer from “Optimism Bias” thinking that we can seriously expand our traditional economies while still able to meet these global targets. The IPCC recently published that a reduction of 42 per cent of carbon emissions would give a 50:50 chance of not overshooting 1.5oC and possibly initiating “self-reinforcing feedbacks” which would take humans out of the equation for limiting climatic and ecological collapse.
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