发电系统生产成本计算

M. Mazumdar
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引用次数: 15

摘要

本文研究了发电系统生产成本期望值的计算问题。首先,利用发电中断频率和持续时间的随机模型,为巴勒里奥公式的评估提供了一种有效的蒙特卡罗方法。其次,指出了使用蒙特卡罗随机模型来估计具有时间依赖约束的生产成本的必要性。最后,它考虑了一个时间负荷也具有随机分量的模型,并得到了这种情况下预期生产成本的表达式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Computation of power generation system production costs
This paper considers the problem of computing the expected value of generating system production costs. First, using a stochastic model for the frequency and duration of generation outage, it provides an efficient Monte Carlo procedure for the evaluation of the Baleriaux formula. Secondly, it points out the need for using a stochastic model for estimating production costs with time-dependent constraints via Monte Carlo. Lastly, it considers a model where the chronological load also has a random component and obtains an expression for expected production costs for this situation.
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