原油价格和汇率对印度股市表现的影响

Saurabh Singh, Ritika Kapil
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文试图对原油价格、汇率与印度股市之间的动态关系进行实证研究。利用2010年4月至2015年3月的原油价格、美元-卢比价值和Nifty收益的每日数据,采用双变量VAR框架下的相关性、回归和格兰杰因果关系方法研究了原油价格与Nifty收益之间的因果关系;汇率和丰厚的回报。ADF (Augmented Dickey Fuller)检验用于检验数据是否平稳。研究结果表明:nifty收益率与汇率呈显著负相关,nifty收益率与原油价格呈显著正相关,nifty收益率与汇率、原油价格与nifty收益率呈单向因果关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate on Performance of Indian Stock Market
This paper attempts to investigate empirically the dynamic relationship among crude oil price, exchange rate and Indian stock market. Using daily data of Crude oil price, Dollar-Rupee value and Nifty returns from April 2010 to March 2015, correlation, regression and Granger-causality approach in a bi-variate VAR framework has been used to investigate the causality between crude oil and nifty returns; exchange rate and nifty returns. Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test has been used to test whether the data is stationary or not. The outcome of the study was there is a significant negative correlation between nifty returns and exchange rate and significant positive correlation between nifty returns and crude oil, and a unidirectional causality running from nifty returns to exchange rates and crude oil price to nifty returns.
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