“集体普京”政治与任人唯亲

A. Baturo, Johan A. Elkink
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摘要

本章考察了政权个性化的庇护支柱,由统治者的庇护网络“集体普京”的力量决定。它描绘了弗拉基米尔•普京(Vladimir Putin)的赞助人-客户网络是如何发展并获得跨机构控制权的。它介绍了俄罗斯赞助人-客户网络的原始数据,并绘制了这些网络随时间变化的地图。基于对政策影响的专家调查,它进一步解释了普京的庇护-客户网络是如何随着时间的推移而日益占据主导地位的。本章发现,俄罗斯走向个性化的道路集中在相对迅速地获得对安全和执法机构的控制权,但统治者的网络对其他机构的渗透要缓慢得多。它还发现,在俄罗斯执政联盟的队伍中,这个网络在2007年初占据主导地位,这也允许弗拉基米尔·普京在2008年至2012年期间以总理的从属地位统治政权。到2012年,赞助客户网络的实力和范围进一步巩固。此外,普京重返总统职位,与其他支柱的个性化加强同时发生,使他在很大程度上独立于自己的联盟。由于这位俄罗斯领导人在相当长的一段时间内都没有受到挑战,对统治者的忠诚不再取决于官员是否有私人关系,是否属于统治者的庇护网络。相反,忠诚是由个人制度的逻辑决定的,所有的官员都把统治者视为他们的总赞助人。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Politics of ‘Collective Putin’ and Patronage Personalization
This chapter examines the patronage pillar of regime personalisation, determined by the strength of the ruler's patronage network, “Collective Putin.” It charts how Vladimir Putin's patron-client network developed and acquired control across institutions. It introduces original data on patron-client networks in Russia and maps these networks over time. Based on expert surveys of policy influence, it further explains how Putin's patron-client network has grown in dominance over time. The chapter finds that the path toward personalisation in Russia centred on the relatively swift acquisition of control over security and enforcement institutions, but a much more gradual penetration of other institutions by the ruler's network. It also finds that within the ranks of the Russian ruling coalition, this network emerges as dominant in early 2007, which also permitted Vladimir Putin to govern the regime from the subordinate position of prime minister from 2008--12. The patron-client network had further consolidated in strength and scope by 2012. Furthermore, Putin's return to presidential office, which coincided with the strengthening of personalisation on other pillars, made him largely autonomous from his own coalition. As the Russian leader has remained unchallenged in office for a considerable period of time, loyalty to the ruler no longer depended on whether officials had personal ties and belonged to the ruler's patronage network. Instead, loyalty came to be determined by the logic of a personalist system so that all officials regarded the ruler as their overall patron.
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