OMEGA gera o SA估值:研究应用于一家拥有可再生电力资产的公司

Antonio Carlos Rangel Alves Junior, R. C. Bonizio, V. M. Magnani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项工作旨在评估在巴西证券交易所(B3)上市的Omega gera o s.a.公司的经营资产的价值,代码为OMGE3。其中,为了进行权益价值的计算,使用了资产估值的商业分析工具(特别是现金流量贴现法)。为了对所研究的资产进行估值模型,我们使用2016年至2020年的财务报表对预测模型进行假设。在定义了这些假设后,公司的现金流被预测为30年,在这之后,采用没有实际增长的终端价值。然后,将未来现金流量按贴现率折现为现值。使用具有类似资产的公司部门的信息修正了建模限制。在现金流预测之后,并使用所采用的假设,公司经营性发电资产的权益价值为30.5亿雷亚尔。对权益值进行了敏感性模拟。敏感性矩阵中使用的假设是:增长率、资本成本(贴现率)、现货市场能源价格和销售成本。假设的敏感性矩阵允许为公司的权益创造一系列价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
OMEGA geração SA Valuation: study applied to a company with renewable electricity assets
This work aims to evaluate the value of the operating assets of generation of the company Omega Geração S.A., listed on the Brazilian stock exchange (B3), under the code OMGE3. In which, to carry out the calculation of the equity value, business analysis tools through asset Valuation (specifically the discounted cash flow approach) were used. In order to carry out the Valuation model of the assets under study, the financial statements for the years 2016 to 2020 were used to make assumptions for the projection model. With the assumptions defined, the company’s cash flows were projected for 30 years, and after that period a terminal value with no real growth was adopted. Then, future cash flows were discounted to present value by a discount rate. Modeling limitations have been fixed using information from companies’ sector that have similar assets. After the cash flow projections, and using the assumptions adopted, the equity value for the company’s operating generation assets is R$ 3,050 million. Some sensitivity simulations were carried out on the equity value. The assumptions used in the sensitivity matrix were: growth rate, cost of capital (discount rate), energy price in the spot market and cost of sales. The sensitivity matrix of the assumptions allowed the creation of a range of values for the company’s equity.
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