市场崩溃和价格调整期间的自我控制相变

Jack Sarkissian
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们研究了金融市场在崩溃期间的集合度量的行为,看看它们是否表现出二阶相变的典型行为。我们发现,在市场崩溃期间,订单参数(定义为总体-平均相关性)急剧增加,波动(定义为总体波动率)出现峰值。此外,相关性和回撤(市场下跌)存在滞后性效应,交易量和回撤也存在类似的效应。这些事实表明,在崩盘期间,市场不仅相似,而且经历了二阶相变。市场阶段可以在波动与下降图上识别为具有高阶和低阶参数的区域。虽然市场动态具有自协调的性质,但阶段图上的两个输入可以直接从市场中测量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Self-Controlled Phase Transitions During Market Crashes and Price Corrections
We study the behavior of ensemble measures of financial markets during crash periods to see if they exhibit the behavior typical for second-order phase transitions. We find that during market crashes the order parameter (defined as the ensemble-average correlation) sharply increases and fluctuations (defined as ensemble volatility) exhibit a spike. In addition, the hysteresis effect is observed for correlations and drawdown (market drop) and a similar effect exists for trading volume and drawdown. These facts point that during crashes the markets not only resemble but undergo a second-order phase transition. Market phases can be identified on a volatility vs drawdown diagram as regions with high and low order parameter. While market dynamics has a self-coordinated nature, the two inputs on phase diagram are measurable directly from the markets.
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