{"title":"用具有定义分形性质的时间序列预测信息通信系统的状态","authors":"O. Sheluhin, M. Polkovnikov, D. Magomedova","doi":"10.1109/SYNCHROINFO49631.2020.9166054","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The article developed a method for predicting the profile of the normal functioning of infocommunication systems formed on the basis of historical values by measuring the fractal dimension of the current increments of the predicted process. Instantaneous amplitudes of increments are used to find optimal combinations of the predicted process by the criterion of the minimum distance between the experimental and predicted functions. The approach is based on a combination of an effective apparatus for analyzing the fractal dimension of time series and modeling.","PeriodicalId":255578,"journal":{"name":"2020 Systems of Signal Synchronization, Generating and Processing in Telecommunications (SYNCHROINFO)","volume":"214 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Forecasting the State of Infocommunication Systems Using Time Series with Defined Fractal Properties\",\"authors\":\"O. Sheluhin, M. Polkovnikov, D. Magomedova\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/SYNCHROINFO49631.2020.9166054\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The article developed a method for predicting the profile of the normal functioning of infocommunication systems formed on the basis of historical values by measuring the fractal dimension of the current increments of the predicted process. Instantaneous amplitudes of increments are used to find optimal combinations of the predicted process by the criterion of the minimum distance between the experimental and predicted functions. The approach is based on a combination of an effective apparatus for analyzing the fractal dimension of time series and modeling.\",\"PeriodicalId\":255578,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2020 Systems of Signal Synchronization, Generating and Processing in Telecommunications (SYNCHROINFO)\",\"volume\":\"214 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2020 Systems of Signal Synchronization, Generating and Processing in Telecommunications (SYNCHROINFO)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYNCHROINFO49631.2020.9166054\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2020 Systems of Signal Synchronization, Generating and Processing in Telecommunications (SYNCHROINFO)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYNCHROINFO49631.2020.9166054","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Forecasting the State of Infocommunication Systems Using Time Series with Defined Fractal Properties
The article developed a method for predicting the profile of the normal functioning of infocommunication systems formed on the basis of historical values by measuring the fractal dimension of the current increments of the predicted process. Instantaneous amplitudes of increments are used to find optimal combinations of the predicted process by the criterion of the minimum distance between the experimental and predicted functions. The approach is based on a combination of an effective apparatus for analyzing the fractal dimension of time series and modeling.