{"title":"歧义重要吗?用多先验递归效用估计资产定价模型","authors":"Daehee Jeong, Hwagyun Kim, Joon Y. Park","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1573139","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper considers asset pricing models with stochastic differential utility incorporating decision makers' concern with ambiguity on true probability measure. Under a representative agent setting, we empirically evaluate alternative preference specifications including a multiple-priors recursive utility. Our empirical findings are summarized as follows: Relative risk aversion is estimated around 1-8 with ambiguity aversion and 7.4-15 without ambiguity aversion. Estimated ambiguity aversion is both economically and statistically significant and can explain up to 45% of the average equity premium. The elasticity of intertemporal substitution is higher than 1 but its identification appears to be weak, as observed by previous authors.","PeriodicalId":273058,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Model Construction & Estimation (Topic)","volume":"117 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2013-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Does Ambiguity Matter? Estimating Asset Pricing Models with a Multiple-Priors Recursive Utility\",\"authors\":\"Daehee Jeong, Hwagyun Kim, Joon Y. Park\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.1573139\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper considers asset pricing models with stochastic differential utility incorporating decision makers' concern with ambiguity on true probability measure. Under a representative agent setting, we empirically evaluate alternative preference specifications including a multiple-priors recursive utility. Our empirical findings are summarized as follows: Relative risk aversion is estimated around 1-8 with ambiguity aversion and 7.4-15 without ambiguity aversion. Estimated ambiguity aversion is both economically and statistically significant and can explain up to 45% of the average equity premium. The elasticity of intertemporal substitution is higher than 1 but its identification appears to be weak, as observed by previous authors.\",\"PeriodicalId\":273058,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ERN: Model Construction & Estimation (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"117 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2013-12-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ERN: Model Construction & Estimation (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1573139\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Model Construction & Estimation (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1573139","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Does Ambiguity Matter? Estimating Asset Pricing Models with a Multiple-Priors Recursive Utility
This paper considers asset pricing models with stochastic differential utility incorporating decision makers' concern with ambiguity on true probability measure. Under a representative agent setting, we empirically evaluate alternative preference specifications including a multiple-priors recursive utility. Our empirical findings are summarized as follows: Relative risk aversion is estimated around 1-8 with ambiguity aversion and 7.4-15 without ambiguity aversion. Estimated ambiguity aversion is both economically and statistically significant and can explain up to 45% of the average equity premium. The elasticity of intertemporal substitution is higher than 1 but its identification appears to be weak, as observed by previous authors.