评估中国加入WTO对投资的影响

T. Walmsley, T. Hertel, Elena Ianchovichina
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引用次数: 48

摘要

在20世纪90年代初中国的外国直接投资(FDI)繁荣之后,FDI在20世纪90年代末放缓。最近,随着中国加入世界贸易组织(WTO),外国直接投资再次回升。本文探讨了加入WTO与中国投资的关系。我们发现投资和资本存量大幅增加。此外,到2020年,外资持有的中国资产将翻一番。这一增长的核心是,在改革的推动下,服务业生产率有望迎头赶上。这些估计远高于早期研究的预测,后者忽略了影响中国服务业的改革,并从国际资本流动中抽象出来。版权所有2006布莱克威尔出版有限公司
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing the Impact of China's WTO Accession on Investment
After a boom in foreign direct investment (FDI) in China in the early 1990s, FDI slowed in the late 1990s. More recently, with China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) a reality, FDI has once again picked up. This paper explores the linkage between WTO accession and investment in China. We find that investment and capital stocks increase substantially. Moreover, foreign ownership of Chinese assets doubles by 2020. Central to this increase is the expected catch-up in the productivity of the services sectors driven by reforms. These estimates are far larger than those predicted by earlier studies, which ignored the reforms affecting Chinese services sectors, and abstracted from international capital mobility. Copyright 2006 Blackwell Publishing Ltd
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