基于条件流情景生成的股票价格预测

Xiaoxuan Xu, Bo Wang, Xianhe Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

股票价格预测是金融领域的一个重要问题。然而,现有的研究大多集中在对单一股票的预测上,忽略了不同资产之间的相关性。解决上述问题的一个可能的方法是提供一组场景,其中包括几只股票的未来回报,而不是单一的。基于流的模型是近年来提出的一种深度学习模型,具有强大的数据生成能力。本文使用基于流量的条件生成模型来预测股票价格情景。我们用真实的股票市场数据验证了所提出的方法。仿真结果表明,基于该方法的模型能够捕捉到未来库存关系的复杂依赖性,提供更加准确和多样化的预测结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock Price Prediction Based on Conditional Flows Scenario Generation
Stock price forecasting is an important issue in the financial field. However, most of the existing studies were focused on the prediction of a single stock, ignoring the correlation among different assets. A possible way to solve the above problem is to provide a set of scenarios which include the future returns of several stocks, instead of a single one. The flow-based model is a kind of deep learning model proposed in recent years, which has powerful data generation abilities. In this paper, we use a flow-based conditional generative model to forecast the stock price scenario. We use real stock market data to verify the proposed method. The simulation results show that the model based on the proposed method can capture the complex dependence of the future stock relationship and provide more accurate and diversified forecasting results.
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