基于投入产出的交通装备制造业完全能源强度非线性优化模型构建及实证分析

Gen Li, Guangming Zhang, Xiaofang Luo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

降低交通运输装备制造业的完全能源强度是降低交通运输装备制造业能耗和污染的重要途径。本文以18个行业的最终需求和完全能源强度最小目标为决策变量,构建了基于投入产出的完全能源强度非线性优化模型。在此模型的基础上,设计了三种方案和两种场景。结果表明:TEMI的完全能量强度最小取值范围为0.9307 ~ 1.0529吨煤当量/万元;与2010年相比,下降幅度在10.94% - 21.28%之间。在C方案情景2下,可实现2015年TEMI总能耗降低20%的目标。为了实现这一目标,中国应该促进船舶工业的发展,优化汽车制造业的结构,提高投资和进口系数,降低消费和出口系数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nonlinear Optimization Model Construction and Empirical Analysis of Complete Energy Intensity in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Industry Based on Input and Output
To lower complete energy intensity of transportation equipment manufacturing industry (TEMI) is an important approach to reducing consumption and pollution. On the basis of decision variables of 18 industries' final demands and minimum target of complete energy intensity, the paper constructs a nonlinear optimization model of complete energy intensity based on input and output. On the basis of the model, the paper designs three schemes and two scenarios. Results show that minimum value range of complete energy intensity of TEMI is 0.9307 to 1.0529 ton of coal equivalent/ten thousand yuan. Compared with 2010, the decline rate range is from 10.94% to 21.28%. Under scenario 2 of C scheme, it can realize the goal that complete energy intensity of TEMI decreases by 20% in 2015. To achieve this goal, China is supposed to promote the development of the shipbuilding industry, optimize the structure of the automobile manufacturing industry, heighten the investment and import coefficients, and lower the consumption and export coefficients.
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