基于灰色关联分析的武汉市旅游业经济拉动效应实证分析

Wang Xiuli, Zheng Zijing
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引用次数: 0

摘要

运用灰色关联分析方法,分析了武汉市旅游业与武汉市第一、二、三产业的相关性,揭示了旅游业与武汉市地方国民经济发展的协调性,进而计算出旅游依存度、旅游贡献率、1986—2020年武汉市旅游拉动率的变化,总结并细化了武汉市旅游拉动效应对城市经济发展的时间演化规律。研究结果表明,武汉市GDP对旅游业的依赖程度越来越高,旅游业对武汉市经济的拉动作用越来越明显。其中,武汉市旅游业与第三产业的相关性最高,与第一产业、第二产业的相关性不明显,尤其是与第一产业基本没有相关性。在乡村振兴战略背景下,武汉市应提高旅游产业与第一产业的关联度,进一步增强旅游产业对武汉经济的拉动作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Empirical Analysis of the Economic Pulling Effects of Tourism Industry in Wuhan City Based on Grey Relational Analysis
Using the Grey relation analysis method to analyze the relevance of tourism industry in Wuhan city and the city's primary, secondary and tertiary industries, and revealing the coordination of tourism industry and the local national economic development in Wuhan, then calculating the three indicators such as tourism dependence, tourism contribution rate, and tourism pulling rate of Wuhan from 1986 to 2020,it is summarized and refined the time evolution law of tourism industry's pulling effects on the city's economic development in Wuhan. The research results show that GDP of Wuhan is increasingly dependent on the tourism industry, and the pulling effects of tourism on economy in Wuhan is becoming more and more obvious. Among them, the tourism industry in Wuhan has the highest correlation with the tertiary industry, and the correlation with the primary industry and the secondary industry is not obvious, especially the primary industry has basically no correlation. In the context of the rural revitalization strategy, Wuhan City should increase the degree of relevance between the tourism industry and the primary industry to further enhance the pulling effects of the tourism industry on Wuhan's economy.
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