{"title":"指数级增长","authors":"S. Glashow","doi":"10.1142/9789814651448_0013","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Exponential growth features frequently in epidemiological projections. Because of carelessness or ignorance, its implications can be easily, and sometimes grievously, underestimated. Sheldon Lee Glashow provides a brief refresher, along with a dramatic demonstration of the power of exponential growth as found in the legend of the chessboard, described in 1256 CE by the Kurdish historian Ibn Khallikān.","PeriodicalId":109925,"journal":{"name":"Encyclopedia of Evolutionary Psychological Science","volume":"25 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"18","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Exponential Growth\",\"authors\":\"S. Glashow\",\"doi\":\"10.1142/9789814651448_0013\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Exponential growth features frequently in epidemiological projections. Because of carelessness or ignorance, its implications can be easily, and sometimes grievously, underestimated. Sheldon Lee Glashow provides a brief refresher, along with a dramatic demonstration of the power of exponential growth as found in the legend of the chessboard, described in 1256 CE by the Kurdish historian Ibn Khallikān.\",\"PeriodicalId\":109925,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Encyclopedia of Evolutionary Psychological Science\",\"volume\":\"25 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-05-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"18\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Encyclopedia of Evolutionary Psychological Science\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789814651448_0013\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Encyclopedia of Evolutionary Psychological Science","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789814651448_0013","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 18
摘要
流行病学预测经常以指数增长为特征。由于粗心或无知，它的含义很容易被低估，有时甚至严重低估。谢尔登·李·格拉斯(Sheldon Lee Glashow)提供了一个简短的复习，并在棋盘传说中戏剧性地展示了指数增长的力量，这是由库尔德历史学家伊本Khallikān在公元1256年描述的。
Exponential growth features frequently in epidemiological projections. Because of carelessness or ignorance, its implications can be easily, and sometimes grievously, underestimated. Sheldon Lee Glashow provides a brief refresher, along with a dramatic demonstration of the power of exponential growth as found in the legend of the chessboard, described in 1256 CE by the Kurdish historian Ibn Khallikān.
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号
