基于油气产量和储量的乘数,作为国家垂直一体化石油公司为投资者提供盈利能力的指标

O. V. Shimko
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引用次数: 1

摘要

主题。本文调查了2008年至2018年间25家主要公共石油和天然气公司的市值与产量和探明储量的比率。我追踪了主要公共石油和天然气公司的市值与产量和探明储量比率的主要趋势。本文还确定了在分析期内导致这种转变的原因,并指出这种乘数是否适用于石油和天然气行业的企业估值。我运用比较、财务和经济分析的方法,总结财务报表的材料。发现可分析的乘数适用于油气公司的企业估值。如果一家公司在其架构中有炼油和石化部门,它将对比率产生有利影响。如果公司的盈利能力高于竞争对手,公司也会受益。国家公司及其指标被视为受到国家因素的影响,在进行企业估值时应考虑到国家因素。比率取决于已探明储量的可用性。这方面影响了市值与探明储量比率的乘数。因此,在类似公司的类似探明储量的情况下,这是可取的。因此,使用市值与产量之比的乘数更为可取。结论和相关性。全球油气行业上市公司在盈利能力下降、债务负担增加的情况下,参考产量信息使用乘数是可以接受的,而以探明储量为基础的比率作为辅助指标更为合理。这些发现可用于评估油气资产的可能价值,作为可比方法的一部分。它们还可以作为提高公共油气公司市值的措施的基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multipliers based on oil and gas production and reserves as national vertically integrated oil companies’ indicator of lucrativeness for investors
Subject. The article investigates ratios of market capitalization to production and proven reserves held by the twenty five major public oil and gas corporations within 2008 through 2018. Objectives. I trace key trends in ratios of market capitalization to production and proven reserves in major public oil and gas corporations. The article also determines what caused such transformation for the analyzable period and indicates whether such multipliers are applicable to business valuations in the oil and gas sector. Methods. I use methods of comparative, financial and economic analysis, and summarize materials of financial statements. Results. The analyzable multipliers were found to be applicable to business valuation of oil and gas corporations. If a company has oil refining and petrochemisry segments in its architecture, it will have a favorable effect on ratios. The company will also benefit if its profitability is higher than that of competitors. National companies and their indicators are seen to be influenced by the country factor, which should be taken into account for purposes of business valuation. Ratios depend on the availability of proven reserves. This aspect influences the multiplier of ratio of market capitalization to proven reserves. Therefore, it is advisable in case of similar proven reserves in comparable companies. Hence, it is more preferable to use the multiplier of the ratio of market capitalization to production. Conclusions and Relevance. It is acceptable to use the multiplier with reference to the information on production even if the profitability goes down and the debt burden increases in the listed sector of the global oil and gas industry, while the ratio based on proven reserves is more reasonable as an auxiliary indicator. The findings can be used to appraise the possible value of oil and gas assets as part of the comparable approach. They can also underlie measures for raising the market capitalization of public oil and gas companies.
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