气候变化和库兹涅茨曲线:葡萄牙的经验

N. Leitão
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化激发了学术界对各种知识领域的兴趣。本研究检验并重新审视了葡萄牙的环境库兹涅茨曲线假设。本研究使用的计量经济学策略是1980-2013年期间的时间序列(ARIMA模型、OLS估计器、ARCH回归、VAR模型和格兰杰因果关系)。计量结果表明,人均收入和人均平方收入均符合预期的标志,即人均收入对二氧化碳排放有正向影响,人均平方收入对二氧化碳排放有负向影响。实证研究还表明,葡萄牙呈现能源消费依赖。贸易开放度和外商直接投资与二氧化碳排放呈负相关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate Change and Kuznets Curve: Portuguese Experience
The climate change has inspired the interest of the academic community in the most diverse areas of knowledge. This study tests and revisited the environmental Kuznets curve assumptions for Portugal. The econometric strategy used in this research is time series (ARIMA model, OLS estimator, ARCH regression, VAR model, and Granger causality) for the time period 1980-2013.The econometric results show that the income per capita and squared income per capita are according to the expected signs, i.e. a positive impact of income per capita on carbon dioxide emissions, and a negative effect of squared income per capita on carbon dioxide emissions. The empirical study also demonstrates that Portugal presents a dependence on energy consumption. The openness trade and foreign direct investment are negatively correlated with carbon dioxide emissions.
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