全球金融危机对新兴市场的金融溢出效应

Heiko Hesse, Nathaniel Frank
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引用次数: 157

摘要

本文分析了在最近的金融危机中,发达经济体和新兴市场(EM)债券和股票市场的流动性和银行偿付能力措施之间的潜在金融联系。估计了一个多变量GARCH模型,以衡量这些金融变量在市场上共同运动的程度。研究结果表明,(在金融市场)可能脱钩的概念是错误的。尽管新兴市场股市在2007年最后一个季度达到峰值,但发达经济体的融资压力和股市与新兴市场金融指标之间的相互联系是高度相关的,并在特定的危机时刻急剧上升。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Spillovers to Emerging Markets During the Global Financial Crisis
In this paper potential financial linkages between liquidity and bank solvency measures in advanced economies and emerging market (EM) bond and stock markets are analyzedduring the latest crisis. A multivariate GARCH model is estimated in order to gauge the extent of co-movements of these financial variables across markets. The findings indicate that the notion of possible de-coupling (in the financial markets) had been misplaced. While EM stock markets reached their peak in the last quarter of 2007, interlinkages between funding stress and equity markets in advanced economies and EM financial indicators were highly correlated and have seen sharp increases during specific crisis moments.
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