马来西亚金融市场的协整分析

Mohamed Ibrahim Mugableh
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文研究了马来西亚股票市场与宏观经济力量之间的长期关系和动态联系,包括通货膨胀率、利率、货币供应和实体经济活动。采用矢量误差修正模型和1977-2015年的年度时间序列。实证结果表明,六个协整向量存在,表明所选变量之间存在长期关系。此外,通货膨胀率和利率与马来西亚资本市场呈负相关。货币供应量和实体经济活动与马来西亚资本市场呈正相关。然而,样本在经济和金融危机期间产生了一些观察结果,这些观察结果影响了从回归中获得的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A homoscedastic co-integration analysis of Malaysian financial market
This article examined long-term relationships and dynamic links between Malaysian equity market and macroeconomic forces, including inflation rates, interest rates, money supply and real economic activity. It employed the vector error correction model and annual time series for the 1977-2015 period. The empirical results show the existence of six co-integrating vectors, implying a long-term relationship between the selected variables. In addition, inflation rates and interest rates were shown to be negatively associated with Malaysian capital market. Money supply and real economic activity were found to be positively related to Malaysian capital market. However, the sample resulted in several observations during the economic and financial crises periods which influence the findings obtained from the regression.
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