东欧在“一带一路”政策中的地位:乌克兰是否有一席之地?

V. Konstantynov
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摘要

本文在“一带一路”倡议的框架内考察了中国在东欧的政策。分析了乌克兰参与“一带一路”合作的程度以及中国的总体政策。有人强调,近年来,“一带一路”倡议不仅是中国的经济项目,也是中国的政治和安全项目。该倡议的主要目的是巩固北京作为现代世界领导者之一的地位。大家注意到,欧洲在中国外交政策中的地位日益重要。然而,在这个地区,它不能使用在亚洲和非洲制定的常用战略来发挥其影响力。因此,中欧和东欧、欧盟新成员国和候选国被认为是中国在旧世界扩大影响力的对象。这篇文章指出了北京特别关注中欧和东欧的主要原因。主要原因是国家和政治机构的相对弱点,以及它们在中国影响力扩张的金融和政治工具面前的脆弱性。此外,欧盟作为中国商品市场的重要性持续增长,因此,通过东欧国家领土的过境对北京来说越来越重要。本文考虑了“16+1”机制对中国在该地区形成特定角色的意义。有人认为,中国在中欧和东欧的战略中没有乌克兰的正式理由是,我们的国家没有参与“16+1”模式。然而,与乌克兰的双边关系与与中欧和东欧国家的双边关系并无不同。一个重要的因素是乌克兰对欧盟的政治决策缺乏影响力,这是中国的主要标准。这是乌克兰在“一带一路”框架内参与合作程度不足的原因。关键词:“一带一路”,中华人民共和国,东欧,欧盟,乌克兰,政治
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Eastern Europe in the Policy of ‘Belt And Road’: Is There a Place for Ukraine?
The article examines China’s policy in Eastern Europe within the framework of the ‘Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)’. The level of Ukraine’s involvement in the cooperation within the framework of this initiative and China’s policy in general is analyzed. It is stressed that in recent years, the ‘Belt and Road’ Initiative is not only economic but also political and security project of China. The main purpose of the initiative is to consolidate the role of Beijing as one of the leaders in the modern world. It is noted that Europe is becoming increasingly important in China’s foreign policy. How-ever, in this region, it cannot use the usual strategy of wielding its influence, worked out in Asia and Africa. Therefore, Central and Eastern Europe, new EU members and candidate countries are considered as objects for spreading Chinese influence in the Old World. The article identifies the principal reasons for Beijing’s particular attention to Central and Eastern Europe. The main one is the relative weakness of state and political institutions and their vulnerability to financial and political instruments of the spread of Chinese influence. Also, the importance of the European Union as a market for Chinese goods continues to grow, therefore making the transit through the territory of the Eastern European countries increasingly important for Beijing. The significance of the ‘16+1’ format on the formation of a specific role of China in the region is considered. It is argued that the formal ground of the absence of Ukraine in the Chinese strategy in Central and Eastern Europe is that our state is not involved in the ‘16+1’ format. However, bilateral relations with Ukraine do not differ from those with Central and Eastern European countries. An important factor is the lack of Ukraine’s influence on political decisions of the EU, which is the main criterion for China. This accounts for the insufficient level of Ukraine’s involvement in the cooperation within the framework of the ‘Belt and Road’ Initiative. Keywords: ‘Belt and Road’ Initiative, the People’s Republic of China, Eastern Europe, European Union, Ukraine, politics.
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